China Will Invade Taiwan, and There’s Nothing We Can Do
We’re about to learn a painful lesson.
Sometime soon, China is going to invade Taiwan. We won’t be able to stop it, not with sanctions, not with force.
China wants Taiwan for one big reason.
Let’s push through all the political and historical reasons why China might want to take back Taiwan. They’re important, but they don’t explain why all of a sudden China would risk so much to take back one island. It’s been doing just fine without it for 70 years.
The question isn’t just why.
It’s why now.
Taiwan enjoys a huge edge in the production of semiconductor chips. In case you haven’t noticed, that’s the one thing nobody can do without. It’s at the center of all our supply woes.
Consider this piece:
Taiwan chip industry emerges as battlefront in U.S.-China showdown
In the counter-invasion exercise, "enemy" paratroopers dropped on Ching Chuan Kang air base and captured the control…
The U.S. currently can’t make our own semiconductor chips. We’re actually trying to make a deal with Taiwan so they’ll make more for us. China can rebuild their capabilities, but their technology lags Taiwan by a decade. Essentially, both the U.S. and China have found themselves almost completely dependent on Taiwan for all of its technology.
This situation is going to get worse…
Climate change isn’t going to suddenly stop destroying key semiconductor sites. If anything, it’s going to keep shredding our economies along with our capabilities to make electronics, including cars and appliances. Whoever dominates the production of tech and key resources will, basically, rule the world. Nobody will be able to oppose them.
Especially not us.
Taiwan is China’s Cuba.
Taiwan has more than semiconductor factories. It has a highly trained, highly educated workforce. It has a strong economy.